ABSTRACT
Background The COVID-19 pandemic has lasted more than 2 years, and the global epidemic prevention and control situation remains challenging. Scientific decision-making is of great significance to people's production and life as well as the effectiveness of epidemic prevention and control. Therefore, it is all the more important to explore its patterns and put forward countermeasures for the pandemic of respiratory infections. Methods Modeling of epidemiological characteristics was conducted based on COVID-19 and influenza characteristics using improved transmission dynamics models to simulate the number of COVID-19 and influenza infections in different scenarios in a hypothetical city of 100,000 people. By comparing the infections of COVID-19 and influenza in different scenarios, the impact of the effectiveness of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on disease trends can be calculated. We have divided the NPIs into three levels according to the degree of restriction on social activities (including entertainment venues, conventions, offices, restaurants, public transport, etc.), with social controls becoming progressively stricter from level 1 to level 3. Results In the simulated scenario where susceptible individuals were vaccinated with three doses of COVID-19 coronaVac vaccine, the peak number of severe cases was 26.57% lower than that in the unvaccinated scenario, and the peak number of infection cases was reduced by 10.16%. In the scenario with level three NPIs, the peak number of severe cases was reduced by 7.79% and 15.43%, and the peak number of infection cases was reduced by 12.67% and 28.28%, respectively, compared with the scenarios with NPIs intensity of level 2 and level 1. For the influenza, the peak number of severe cases in the scenario where the entire population were vaccinated was 89.85%, lower than that in the unvaccinated scenario, and the peak number of infections dropped by 79.89%. Conclusion The effectiveness of COVID-19 coronaVac vaccine for preventing severe outcomes is better than preventing infection;for the prevention and control of influenza, we recommend influenza vaccination as a priority over strict NPIs in the long term.
ABSTRACT
Background and aims: Calcium channel blockers (CCBs) and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) are commonly used in the treatment of hypertension. However, it is still not clear whether there are differences among different anti-hypertensive drugs in the treatment of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and hypertension. Herein, we aimed to assess the relation between different anti-hypertensive medications and COVID-19 outcomes. Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 58 hypertensive patients with COVID-19 who were treated with different anti-hypertensive drugs and reviewed the clinical data obtained from electronic medical records, including epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and the treatment and progression of the disease. Results: There was no obvious difference in clinical prognosis after using any anti-hypertensive drugs in patients with COVID-19 and hypertension, but the different anti-hypertensive drugs were associated with the use of non-invasive ventilator treatment at admission comparing two groups between ACEIs/ARBs and CCBs+ACEIs/ARBs. Conclusion: there is no evidence showing that the different use of anti-hypertensive drugs is related to outcomes of patients with COVID-19 and hypertension, even between single drug regimen and combined therapy (with at least two anti-hypertensive drugs as combined therapy).